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Abstract
Agrarian structures are often characterized by some kind of economic inertia. It is particularly
puzzling why unprofitable farms persist over time instead of being sold. In this paper we analyze
the exit decision of farmers using the real options approach. The validity of the real options
theory is assessed by means of laboratory experiments. Our results show that real options
models are able to predict actual disinvestment decisions better than traditional investment
theory. Nevertheless, the observed disinvestment reluctance was even more pronounced
as predicted by theory. This finding suggests the inclusion of bounded rationality into normative
disinvestment models.