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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://purl.umn.edu/48761

Title: Probabilistic Models of Yield, Price, and Revenue Risks for Fed Cattle Production
Authors: Belasco, Eric J.
Taylor, Mykel R.
Goodwin, Barry K.
Schroeder, Ted C.
Keywords: conditional variance
production risk
cattle feeding
yields
JEL Codes: D24
D81
Q12
Issue Date: 2009-04
Abstract: Cattle feeding enterprises operate amid variability originating in prices and production. This research explicitly models yield risks related to cattle feeding by relating the mean and variance of yield performance factors to observable conditioning variables. The results demonstrate that pen characteristics, such as entry weight, gender, placement season, and location influence the mean and variability of yield factors, defined as dry matter feed conversion, average daily gain, mortality, and animal health costs. Ex ante profit distributions, conditional on cattle placement characteristics, are derived through simulation methods to evaluate the effects of price or yield shocks on the distributional characteristics of expected profits.
URI: http://purl.umn.edu/48761
Institution/Association: Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics>Volume 41, Number 01, April 2009
Total Pages: 15
From Page: 91
To Page: 105
Collections:Volume 41, Number 01, April 2009

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