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108th Seminar, February 8-9, 2008, Warsaw, Poland >
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http://purl.umn.edu/48115
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| Title: | Agricultural Incomes Development in EU till 2030: Scenario Analysis of Main Driving Factors |
| Authors: | Tabeau, Andrzej A.
van Meijl, Hans
Banse, Martin
Woltjer, Geert B. |
| Keywords: | Agricultural incomes and production
agricultural policy
long-term scenarios |
| Issue Date: | 2008 |
| Abstract: | Europe’s rural areas are expected to witness rapid changes due to developments in
demography, (agricultural) policies, global trade, climate change, technology and
enlargement of the European Union. These changes will affect farmers’ production
and income level and make the final outcome of this process uncertain. This paper
tries to assess this uncertainty by analyzing the results of 34 scenarios of the
EURURALIS project. The scenario outcomes were used to investigate agricultural
income development and to analyze the impact of different combinations of macroeconomic
and policy factors on agricultural income. The results of these scenarios
were achieved in a modeling framework consisting of a modified version of the
Global Trade Analysis Project model (GTAP) and the more ecological-environmental
oriented Integrated Model to Assess the Global Environment (IMAGE). |
| URI: | http://purl.umn.edu/48115 |
| Institution/Association: | European Association of Agricultural Economists>108th Seminar, February 8-9, 2008, Warsaw, Poland |
| Total Pages: | 18 |
| Collections: | 108th Seminar, February 8-9, 2008, Warsaw, Poland
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| Agricultural incomes development in EU till 2030_ Scenario analysis of main driving factors.pdf | | 137Kb | PDF | View/Open |
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