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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://purl.umn.edu/44198

Title: Nonlinear Vector Error Correction Models in Price Transmission Analysis: Threshold Models vs. Markov-Switching Models
Authors: Ihle, Rico
von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan
Keywords: price transmission
threshold vector error correction model
Markov-switching vector error correction model
Issue Date: 2008
Abstract: This work provides a comparison of methodologies for applied research in price transmission analysis. We compare two regime-dependent econometric models, namely the threshold vector error correction model and the Markov-switching vector error correction model. We first provide a conceptual comparison in which we find that the regime-switching mechanisms of the models differ fundamentally so that each model is suitable for a certain type of nonlinear price trans-mission. Furthermore, we conduct a Monte Carlo experiment in order to study the performance of each of the models’ estimation techniques for simulated data. Although each model possesses an immediate economic interpretation which well matches an aspect of the theory of price transmission, the simulation results indicate that the corresponding estimation techniques yield biased estimates of low precision.
URI: http://purl.umn.edu/44198
Institution/Association: European Association of Agricultural Economists>2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium
Total Pages: 5
Collections:2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium

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