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Organizações Rurais e Agroindustriais/Rural and Agro-Industrial Organizations >
Volume 07, Number 2, May/August 2005 >
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://purl.umn.edu/43986
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| Title: | UMA ESTIMATIVA DA DEMANDA INDUSTRIAL DE ENERGIA ELÉTRICA NO BRASIL: 1974-2002 |
| Other Titles: | An estimate of the industrial electricity demand in BRAZIL: 1974-2002 |
| Authors: | Mattos, Leonardo Bornacki de |
| Keywords: | electricity demand Cointegration Error Correction Mechanism. |
| Issue Date: | 2005-05-02 |
| Abstract: | This work aims to quantify the relations between the electricity demand and its main determinants in the Industrial sector of Brazil, in
the period between 1974 and 2002. After identifying that the studied series were nonstationary, the use of the Cointegration Approach
and an Error-Correction Mechanism was opted . The results obtained have turned out as according to the expected. The industrial
electricity demand is price inelastic in both short and long run. The results still pointed out that such demand is inelastic to income in the
short run, but elastic in the long run. The parameter estimated for a substitute factor to the energy was not significant, indicating that there
is no close substitute for electricity in the Industrial sector. This fact evidenced the necessity of a program of reorganization and
expansion for the Brazilian Electrical system as condition for the maintenance and the growth of the industrial activity in the country. |
| URI: | http://purl.umn.edu/43986 |
| Institution/Association: | Organizações Rurais e Agroindustriais/Rural and Agro-Industrial Organizations>Volume 07, Number 2, May/August 2005 |
| Total Pages: | 9 |
| From Page: | 238 |
| To Page: | 246 |
| Collections: | Volume 07, Number 2, May/August 2005
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Files in This Item:
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| Artigo 10 (04.124).pdf | | 112Kb | PDF | View/Open |
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