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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://purl.umn.edu/37631

Title: Modelling South African grain farmers’ preferences to adopt derivative contracts using discrete choice models
Authors: Ueckermann, E.M.
Blignaut, J.N.
Gupta, R.
Raubenheimer, J.
Authors (Email): Ueckermann, E.M. (LizaU@compcom.co.za)
Blignaut, J.N. (james.blignaut@up.ac.za)
Gupta, R. (rangan.gupta@up.ac.za)
Editors: Vink, N.
Jooste, A.
Editors (Email): Vink, N. (nv@sun.ac.za)
Jooste, A. (andre@namc.ac.za)
Keywords: Discrete choice models
micro-analysis of farmers
agricultural markets and marketing
Issue Date: 2008-06-30
Series/Report no.: Volume 47
Number 2
Abstract: This paper applies a discrete choice model to determine specific characteristics that influence South African grain farmers’ preferences to hedge against uncertainties. This is the first empirical study on South African grain producers’ preferences to adopt derivative contracting and is based on the survey data of Grain South Africa for 2006. With the application of separate binary logit models for each major grain commodity, this paper establishes that different grain farmers are significantly heterogeneous. The results also show that grain farmers’ preferences to adopt derivative contracting are mostly influenced by the farmers’ prediction of daily grain prices and trends, farm size and various geographic characteristics. From a policy perspective it has been indicated that food and income insecurity will be reduced if farmers can adopt derivative contracting at large scale since it will enable the producers to produce staple food on a continuous basis at a relatively profitable level.
URI: http://purl.umn.edu/37631
Institution/Association: Agrekon>Volume 47, Issue 2, June 2008
Total Pages: 18
Journal Issue : Agrekon
Journal Volume: 47
Journal Date: June 2008
From Page: 222
To Page: 239
Collections:Volume 47, Issue 2, June 2008

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