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          Volume 27, Number 02, December 1995 >

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://purl.umn.edu/15259

Title: A COMPARISON OF NOMINAL AND REAL HISTORICAL RISK MEASURES
Authors: Ford, Beth Pride
Musser, Wesley N.
Keywords: Detrending
Indices
Nominal data
Risk measurement
Issue Date: 1995-12
Abstract: Previous studies of historical risk have used either nominal or real data to calculate risk measures for agricultural prices and income. However, the effects of using nominal and real data have not been evaluated. This study utilizes theoretical variance approximation relationships to examine variances from detrended real and nominal time series. The relationships between variances are derived for quarterly U.S. farm milk prices for 1960-72, 1973-80, and 1981-90. Contrary to common intuitive arguments, results indicate that variances of real time series can be larger than variances of nominal series. While definitive conclusions are not possible, several reasons for using nominal data in risk analysis are given.
URI: http://purl.umn.edu/15259
Institution/Association: Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics>Volume 27, Number 02, December 1995
Total Pages: 17
Language: English
From Page: 669
To Page: 685
Collections:Volume 27, Number 02, December 1995

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